A few trading tips for our miners
Hey miners! As Ethereum price is a critical point for you, we decided to give some tools so that you can assess the evolution of the Ethereum price.
Basically crypto-currency are mainly influenced by technical analysis, which is a job on its own. Since the end of the 19th century, generations of traders tried to master these skills with different result. So, you won’t become a professional trader by reading this article but we can provide some information and advice that will help you avoid some trap
Let's start with the basics
First trading tips, keep in mind that the price of all crypto are closely related to Bitcoin price. An in-depth analysis of the evolution of Bitcoin price will give you some clue to anticipate the future of all the crypto market. Remember that like any market there are ups and downs, and this means that you should always be aware of the timeframe you’re analyzing (this could go from 10 years to 10 minutes).
On the other side, when it’s not about a specific period of time, analyzing specific assets can be a winning strategy. Sometimes it could happen that, for a short period of time, some crypto could be in a bearish trend (price goes down) while a specific crypto will outperform the general trend and enter in a bullish trend (price goes up)
In a nutshell, I advise you to first define a global trend and zero in to a specific period of time or assets.
The trend was negative (to say the least) during most of 2018 but seems to turn positive since December. This is something you should pay attention to.
Indicators you should know.
Trading tips #2 include specific tools but since there are endless useful indicators to master, you will have to choose a few depending on your strategy and mindset. Here are two indicators that I consider very handful and important to master.
First, the MACD:
“Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price. […] Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicators can be interpreted in several ways, but the more common methods are crossovers, divergences, and rapid rises/falls.”
Basically, it will help you determine signals to decide when to buy or sell your cryptos based on analysis of moving average. There’s a full article on Investopedia we recommend that you read if you want to know more about MACD.
Second, the RSI
The RSI –relative strength index – is a “momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or other asset. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph that moves between two extremes) and can have a reading from 0 to 100.”
This indicator will assess the soundness of a trend and allow you to determine overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30) territory. It can also tell you when a trend will change or if a trend is sustainable.
With those two tools coupled with point and figure analysis, you’ll be able to identify patterns in graphics, allow you to act cleverly. All of this should prevent you from buying high and selling low, a very common mistake that every trader tries to avoid but that I see often.
A few comments on buying and selling for our miners.
My trading tip #3 is about your behaviour when it comes to cryptocurrencies. As you don’t buy crypto but produce them, you will mainly try to short the asset. Except if you’re a holder (HODLR) of course, which by the way, another thing I encourage you to be because crypto is the future!
By shorting, I mean sell the asset when indicators signal a corrective trend is on the way. A simple and clear strategy would be to stop there. However, if you want to play, you can use technical analysis to buy the asset on the bottom of a corrective trend to sell it higher. Keep in mind that it’s almost impossible to buy the asset at an all-time low and sell it at an all-time high (either on a short or long period of time).
Let’s give it a shot with a global analysis of Bitcoin price, as Bitcoin is the main asset in the crypto field.
As all of you know, we have experienced a strong corrective trend since December 2017 that seemed to have ended in December 2018. On the 15th of December, we reached a bottom at 3118 $. Since then, the trend turns positive and several resistances have been broken.
April was a very good month! The positive trend accelerated, Bitcoin jumped from 4100 $ to a five-month-high at 5627 $ on the 23th of April, the highest level since Nov 18. We are actually at a crossroads and we’re currently experiencing a so-called golden crossover, a bull cross of the 50 day and 200 day moving averages for the first time since October 2015. The crossover represents a long-term bearish-to-bullish trend change. But the crypto market is what it is, so I advise to stay careful.
Where could we go from here?
Reproducing the pattern of Bitcoin, Ether bottomed out on the 15th of December at 85$ and bounce back since then to reach a five-month-high at 188 $. That’s a 120% increase so Ether has outperformed Bitcoin since December.
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Passionate about blockchain and cryptocurrencies, I created Cruxpool. I sometimes write for this blog!